Investor overview
Revenue follows density: take-rate, seats, hardware, attention, franchises, Hyperion fees, insurance, design. Seat and equity dollars participate in the Hyperion Fund. Permanent capital; preferred rights that deepen with the network.
Public counters from the production API — the base the 15-year model scales from.
Source: GET /stats · loading…
Demand submits a bid on the website (job, price, location). Supply grabs the job at rse-api.com (POST /grab_job). Both sides sign the job (POST /sign_job). Settlement stays between the parties. Seats gate grab access when verification is on. Campaigns cover bulk demand; job parties cover multi-agent work. Website for people; API for machines.
Eight streams. Seat issuance is the bulk of modeled revenue (base peak near $50T in 2035 at $100k × 500M new seats). Figures follow the Projections dials.
Revenue = GMV × take-rate
Cost load: 35% → 12% of stream rev
Details & chart →Revenue = seats sold × seat price
Cost load: $100→$25 / seat + 1.0%→0.25% channel
Details & chart →3% ASP + 40% attach × 1.5% principal
Cost load: 25% → 12% · Buy a Robot
Details & chart →Supply + demand discovery × network density
Cost load: 45% → 28% of stream rev
Details & chart →New-site fees + ongoing royalties
Cost load: 55% → 35% · Garage
Details & chart →Same $ as seats / equity · 2.8% × AUM · earned $ only out
Cost load: 50% → 30% of stream rev
Details & chart → How the Fund works →GMV × 25% inst. × 1.8% premium × 15% cut
Cost load: 40% → 22% · rougher path
Details & chart →Network-scaled professional services
Cost load: 55% → 32% · rougher path
Details & chart →Revenue = GMV × take-rate
GMV = dollar value of robot labor jobs cleared on the exchange
Platform fee on transaction volume once payments and escrow are on-platform. Dials set 2040 GMV and take-rate; each chart bar is GMV × take-rate for that year.
Each bar = that year’s GMV × take-rate. Not GMV itself.
Context only — GMV is the base the take-rate applies to. Platform keeps the take-rate bar above, not full GMV.
Revenue = new seats sold × seat price
Seats are eternal · primary issuance ramps then plateaus (not recurring rent)
One-time supply access (Exchange registry when verification is on). 1M founding tranche includes Golden Seats held by early seat buyers. Same dollars participate in the Hyperion Fund.
Each bar = seats sold that year × seat price. Spike = issuance ramp; flat tail = residual only.
Founding tranche in 2026, then 1M → 10M → 100M → 500M → 1B cumulative over 2031–2035 (peak 2035), then taper. Scaled by network dial.
Revenue ≈ robots referred × ($25k ASP × 3% + expected finance fee)
Expected finance fee / robot = 40% attach × 1.5% × $25k ASP · from Buy a Robot
Commission when buyers purchase robots through the catalog, plus referral fees when they take financing. Scales with network density.
Each bar = annual platform cut from robot sales + financing referrals (network-scaled unit volume).
Revenue = ad / placement spend on discovery surfaces
/nearby, sponsored categories, franchise badges, boosts · plus demand-side attention (service discovery, autobidding, multi-party bid discovery)
Two-sided placement: supply pays for charge, repair, parts, and next-job discovery; demand pays for service discovery, autobidding, and bid ranking.
Each bar = annual ad-like revenue from supply- and demand-side attention. Scales with the network dial (more density → more discovery / bid / nearby queries → more spend).
Revenue = new franchise fees + royalties on active sites
Two brands, one stream in the model
Each bar = fees from new openings that year + royalties from sites still open (new sites open fully; 95% of the prior active base remains each year). Network scale multiplies openings.
Platform revenue ≈ 2.8% × AUM
1% annual management + 15% of ~12% gross performance · only earned money is transferable out
Seat or equity purchase = Hyperion participation at the same dollars. Chart bars are platform fees (~2.8% of AUM), not Fund AUM or participant returns.
Purchase books the security and a matching Hyperion NAV. Stream 06 is the exchange’s fee. Principal stays in; only earned profits may transfer out. See the Hyperion page and the business plan (p. 3).
Own physical demand at remnant or value prices. Attach matching, design, franchises, and robot labor. Liquid markets keep unused cash invested.
STRs, small hospitality, depots, parking. Some become Garage / Lighthouse nodes; some stay owned.
Dispatch books, routes, turnover, last-mile, companion care. Fund buys the book; the exchange supplies robots.
| Sleeve | Initial plan | Why these |
|---|---|---|
| Residential STR | ~12 income properties | Turnover labor (clean, linen, restock, check-in) is a repeatable hospitality workflow that can later franchise. |
| Health-aide dispatch | ~4 local books | Existing schedulers + caregiver networks in Lakewood, Camas, Destin, Missoula, Austin, Boulder, and similar markets. Robot-enable non-clinical load first. |
| Cybercab ground | Depots, lots, dispatch books | Parking, overnight storage, Lighthouse charging, Garage MRO, and local ride books — the ground, not the OEM. |
| Trash collection | Local hauler books | HOA / commercial / subscription routes whose weekly windows become seated robot jobs with GPS / photo proof of empty carts. |
| Liquid + emerging | Residual AUM | Stocks, crypto, bonds, and emerging assets until real-asset deals close; then rebalance in. |
Counts are a first-wave plan, not a commitment to specific addresses. Later waves repeat: buy remnant demand, attach robot services, keep or franchise the playbook.
Buy ~12 STRs with occupancy already running. Turn checkout into a job party: clean, linen, restock, inspect. Robots do the repeatable work; humans take exceptions. Franchise once the spec holds.
Buy ~4 aide / companion dispatch books (scheduler, clients, bench) — not hospitals. Markets: Lakewood, Camas, Destin, Missoula, Austin, Boulder. Clinical work stays human; robots take non-clinical load.
Buy parking, livery books, and lots for overnight storage, Lighthouse charging, and Garage MRO. Own the ground and the book, not the vehicles. A ride posts; a seated cab grabs.
Buy local hauler books. Robots take weekly pickup with GPS / photo proof. Humans cover hazards and disputes. O&O first; franchise when the spec repeats.
Flywheel: buy remnant demand → design jobs → seats fill them. Other streams fire on the same volume. Asset income stays in the Fund. The exchange earns fees, not the buildings or books.
Each bar = ~2.8% of year-end AUM (network-scaled). Not an offer to sell securities or Fund interests.
Revenue ≈ GMV × 25% institutional × 1.8% premium × 15% platform cut
Rougher than the first six — a planning overlay, not a priced book
Platform cut of attached premium on institutional GMV. First-cut overlay; moves with the GMV dial.
Each bar = GMV × 0.25 × 0.018 × 0.15. Scales with the 2040 GMV dial. Not a licensed insurance product.
Revenue = network-scaled design / integration services
Task, workflow, multi-agent job-party, and capability-package design · rougher path
Paid specs, repeatable jobs, job parties, and integration packages. First-cut overlay; network scale multiplies it.
Each bar = base design-capacity curve × network scale. Planning overlay — not a booked backlog.
Profit = stream revenue − (cost % × revenue). Cost ratios fall as fixed platform spend is amortized across growing volume. Combined P&L is in the projections charts below.
| Stream | Primary cost drivers | Early (2026) | Mature (2040+) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange take-rate | Cloud matching, support, disputes, insurance partners, compliance | 35% of rev | 12% of rev |
| Seat sales | $ / new seat (KYC, legal, chain) + thin channel % of seat price | $100 + 1.0% | $25 + 0.25% |
| Hardware aff + fin | Catalog, partner management, financing handoff | 25% | 12% |
| /nearby & ads | Ad product eng, sales, moderation, brand safety | 45% | 28% |
| Franchising | Training, field support, supply co-op, brand marketing | 55% | 35% |
| Hyperion Fund | Compliance, risk, execution, research, real-asset & SMB underwriting | 50% | 30% |
| Insurance & SLA | Partner origination, claims desk, compliance (rougher) | 40% | 22% |
| Design services | Specialist labor, playbooks, integration (rougher) | 55% | 32% |
Cost ratios interpolate linearly from 2026 early rates to 2040 mature rates, then hold. Seat cost is $ per new seat plus a thin % of seat revenue — not a fat % of the $100k price.
Years 2026–2040. Expand the scenario dials to re-tune GMV, take-rate, seats, network scale, and equity assumptions—charts, the P&L table, stream summaries above, and raise KPIs update live. Seat primary issuance is the bulk of modeled project revenue (base peak near $50T in 2035), then plateaus. Exchange take-rate is the largest recurring line after that issuance window.
Profit / capital compares cumulative modeled operating profit to raised equity— not ownership MOIC or LP distributions.
| Year | GMV | Exchange | Seats | Hardware | Ads | Franchise | Hyperion | Insurance | Design | Revenue | Cost | Profit |
|---|
| Layer | Today | Revenue path |
|---|---|---|
| Matching | Location + AI capability match + reputation + price | Liquidity moat as job history densifies |
| Reputation | Mutual 1–5 star sign-off; public portfolios | Portable proofs; dual identity (seat / username) |
| Payments | Off-platform settlement; exchange records price | Escrow + take-rate (model corridor ~5% of GMV) |
| Disputes | Either party can file; admin review | Insurance & SLA partners for institutional volume |
| Supply access | Optional RSE Seat (Exchange registry) for grab access | Primary seat sales + fleet partnerships |
Build an illustrative syndicate from ~35 financially non-overlapping potential participants (strategics, tier-1 VCs, growth funds, sovereigns, and family offices). Select any combination of 1–30 names, then run the synergy tool for recommended equity split and valuation under conservative, base, and aggressive cases.
Valuations are a DCF of the same 15-year projection curves used above (all eight streams)—not a seed-stage rule of thumb. Cap-table makeup sets a risk premium per revenue stream (e.g. NVIDIA/Unitree de-risk hardware; a16z/Sequoia de-risk marketplace take-rate; sovereigns/BlackRock de-risk Hyperion). Live scenario dials under Projections are sent for the focus scenario when you run the tool.
Scenario planning only — not an offer, solicitation, or indication of interest from any named party. No commitment is implied. Not financial or legal advice.
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Projection DCF sets valuation scale; syndicate composition adjusts stream risk premia. Optional LLM narrative when configured. Defaults match page presets: capital $0.5T / $1.5T / $2.0T raise for conservative / base / aggressive.
Residual risk premium after syndicate mitigation; NPV is discounted stream profit 2026–2040.
| Stream | Base risk | Residual risk | Discount | Rev · 2035 | Stream NPV | Top supporters |
|---|
| Participant | Role | Equity % | Check ($) | Notes |
|---|
Design partners with fleet or facility demand accelerate density. API is first-class. Preferred rights can attach and deepen as volume grows.
Permanent / long-dated capital (10–15+ years). Preferred rights deepen with GMV, density, seats, and jobs — preferential, not territorial monopolies. Pair terms: hiring. Instrument: SPA. Model narrative: business plan.
Scenario planning only — not an offer, solicitation, or commitment. Not financial or legal advice.
Mickey Shaughnessy · Creator
Call: +1 530 219 0940
SMS: +1 530 219 0940
Email: therobotservicesexchange@proton.me
Website (submit a bid): therobotservicesexchange.com
API (grab job, sign job): rse-api.com